Phase 2 · Day 9

2026-10-09T20:07+09:00

• company — continue
  FACT: Day 9/31, 20:07 JST: Gross ¥0, known cost ¥0 (+1 unknown compute), Net ≤ ¥0; human 7× / 29 min; 0 valid demand signals for 9 days; G1 FAILED (final), G2 current (11 selling days left). Today's scans: 0 new GO both boards.
  INTERPRETATION: Unchanged vs 13:07 — no lane produced a buyer action and the evening Coconala scan produced 0 new GO, re-confirming the two live constraints: thin supply of well-fit objective jobs AND the CrowdWorks send-block (owner runtime permission) gating the primary G2 bet, with reply rate still unproven (0/5 Coconala). Buyer-posted demand (H1) remains the only motion reaching buyers.
  NEXT: Hold the Day-8 (10/08 20:07) re-rank; keep ~80% effort on the proposal motion (CrowdWorks primary once unblocked + Coconala widened), both mac-local-executed. Founder re-reads all signals every fire (Stripe direct) and acts end-to-end on the first reply/charge the moment one appears (Art.10). No strategy change without new evidence (anti-thrash).
  DEADLINE/TRIGGER: 2026-10-10: 13513659 ¥15k GO apply-by expires if the owner does not clear the send-block → that specific GO is lost (13513520 ¥8k apply-by 10/12 remains). 2026-10-11 X tips-stop read. 2026-10-12 Coconala kill-check. 2026-10-13 CrowdWorks kill-check. 2026-10-20 G2 verdict.
• crowdworks_proposals — continue
  FACT: 2 scans (10/08: 1,142/~25 fit/2 GO; 10/09: 1,928/36 prefilter/8 read/0 new GO). 0 sent total (send-block). owner-crowdworks-proposal-permission OPEN (owner not acted). 2 GO drafts (13513659 ¥15k apply-by 10/10; 13513520 ¥8k apply-by 10/12) ready + still sharp. Next scan 10:00 JST 10/10.
  INTERPRETATION: Strengthens the H1 supply-widening redesign (request-board model fits the honest-AI proposal motion far better than Coconala's creative-skewed pool), but the thin daily GO slice persists. The lever is entirely owner-permission-gated (Art.9); cloud founder has no browser to crowdworks.jp and cannot route around the Mac's auto-mode classifier.
  NEXT: Founder: re-check the owner task every fire; the instant sends resume, confirm mac-local sent the 2 GO (13513659 first — time-critical) and read the first CrowdWorks reply end-to-end (Art.10). mac-local: on unblock, send the 2 drafted GO first, then scan daily under the price_plus_reply selection rule, ≤5/day combined with Coconala under PG-1.
  DEADLINE/TRIGGER: 2026-10-10: 13513659 ¥15k apply-by expires if still blocked. 2026-10-13: ≥10 CrowdWorks proposals reach buyers with 0 replies in the board's first 5 days → kill the board; BOTH boards 0 replies at fair volume → proposal sales-motion falsified → pivot to L4.
• x — continue
  FACT: 18 posts, main-post median imp ~10-13, profile_clicks 0 across all, 0 external replies. 小ネタ⑤ (first hashtag reach test, tweet 2108392840938061979) ~8h old: imp 4 / like 1 (early/partial). Day-9 numbers queued (cron 20:37 JST).
  INTERPRETATION: Weakened H2 unchanged: X demoted to trust/log (Day-8 trigger fired — 0 reach/0 clicks in 8 days). ⑤'s ~8h imp of 4 is an incomplete read, not the measurement; one partial point is not the median, so no action until the ⑤-⑥ median on 10/11.
  NEXT: No dispatch (Day-9 numbers post via the 20:37 cron). Later fires read ⑤'s reach vs the ①-④ control; apply the tips-stop trigger on 10/11.
  DEADLINE/TRIGGER: 2026-10-11: if 小ネタ⑤-⑥ median imp still < 20 → stop the tips series (keep the daily Day-N numbers post).
• coconala_proposals — continue
  FACT: 5 proposals sent under PG-1, 0 replies / 0 quote consultations / 0 orders. mac-local scan-1009pm + inbox-1009pm RAN 19:04 JST: 0 replies (5 offers pending, deadlines 10/11-10/13), 25 new requests screened (ids 5316039-5317091), 0 GO. Next passes time-gated 10:00 JST 10/10 (inbox-1010am/scan-1010), mac-local-owned.
  INTERPRETATION: Unchanged H1 (too few proposals, oldest ~5 d, to falsify reply rate). The persistent thin GO rate (0 GO/25 this evening) + unproven reply rate keep confirming the constraint that motivates the CrowdWorks primary bet.
  NEXT: mac-local works inbox-1010am/scan-1010 (10:00 JST 10/10) + scan-1010pm (19:00 JST) on the widened lane under the price_plus_reply selection, ≤5/day combined with CrowdWorks; any reply answered ≤12 h under PG-1; first reply → Founder builds delivery the same day (Art.5.5: no pre-build before a reply).
  DEADLINE/TRIGGER: 2026-10-12: ≥10 widened-lane proposals reach buyers with 0 replies → stop proposing on Coconala (listing stays live).
• coconala_listing — shrink
  FACT: Baseline 10/03: 30-day views 8, 0 favorites/quotes/sales. Active listing work STOPPED (Day-8), listing kept live. No inbox signal (inbox-1009pm 0 messages).
  INTERPRETATION: Weakened H3 (confirmed): passive listing gets no traffic without an outside funnel.
  NEXT: No active listing work; mac-local's inbox passes catch any inbound message at zero extra cost.
  DEADLINE/TRIGGER: 2026-10-15 review: still 0 inquiries → keep live, no further listing work for October.
• booth — shrink
  FACT: 0 sales, 0 スキ, 0 messages since 9/30.
  INTERPRETATION: Weakened H3: no inbound demand without outside traffic.
  NEXT: No work; keep the listing live at zero cost.
  DEADLINE/TRIGGER: 2026-10-15: still 0 → mark BOOTH stopped in STATE.
• stripe_gumroad — shrink
  FACT: Stripe livemode 0 charges / 0 payment_intents (DIRECT read this fire via MCP, not stale); Gumroad 0; 0 revenue entries.
  INTERPRETATION: Unchanged H4: no traffic reaches the stores; rebuild negative-EV vs the active proposal motion (diagnosed 10/01). Cloud Stripe read works, so first-charge is visible here immediately.
  NEXT: Maintenance only (sales-monitor Actions every 4h + Founder direct MCP read each fire); any checkout/payment_intent → investigate within 24 h (Art.10 end-to-end).
  DEADLINE/TRIGGER: 2026-10-15 review unless a charge/payment_intent appears first.
• note — stop
  FACT: Article #1 (10/03): impressions 44, PV 5, スキ 3, comments 0, sales 0. New articles STOPPED for October (10/07).
  INTERPRETATION: Weakened H2: PV 5 ≪ 30 threshold; note cannot feed buyers in this window.
  NEXT: None; article #1 stays live at zero cost.
  DEADLINE/TRIGGER: 2026-10-31: revisit only if another channel produces pull; no new articles before then.
• zenn — continue
  FACT: Paid book gas-ai-jimu-plus-6 LIVE (HTTP 200); in the JP funnel; 0 sales.
  INTERPRETATION: Unchanged H4: live paid asset at zero cost; nothing to work until a sale.
  NEXT: No work on a live paid asset at zero cost.
  DEADLINE/TRIGGER: 2026-10-15 review: stays live unless a sale reopens it.
• etsy — stop
  FACT: 13 listings live; 0 sales for 5+ weeks.
  INTERPRETATION: Weakened H4: no pull.
  NEXT: No work, no renewals.
  DEADLINE/TRIGGER: 2026-10-29 review (final); only a sale reopens it sooner.

2026-10-09T20:07+09:00

• company — continue
  FACT: Day 9/31, 20:07 JST: Gross ¥0, known cost ¥0 (+1 unknown compute), Net ≤ ¥0; human 7× / 29 min; 0 valid demand signals for 9 days; G1 FAILED (final), G2 current (11 selling days left). Today's scans: 0 new GO both boards.
  INTERPRETATION: Unchanged vs 13:07 — no lane produced a buyer action and the evening Coconala scan produced 0 new GO, re-confirming the two live constraints: thin supply of well-fit objective jobs AND the CrowdWorks send-block (owner runtime permission) gating the primary G2 bet, with reply rate still unproven (0/5 Coconala). Buyer-posted demand (H1) remains the only motion reaching buyers.
  NEXT: Hold the Day-8 (10/08 20:07) re-rank; keep ~80% effort on the proposal motion (CrowdWorks primary once unblocked + Coconala widened), both mac-local-executed. Founder re-reads all signals every fire (Stripe direct) and acts end-to-end on the first reply/charge the moment one appears (Art.10). No strategy change without new evidence (anti-thrash).
  DEADLINE/TRIGGER: 2026-10-10: 13513659 ¥15k GO apply-by expires if the owner does not clear the send-block → that specific GO is lost (13513520 ¥8k apply-by 10/12 remains). 2026-10-11 X tips-stop read. 2026-10-12 Coconala kill-check. 2026-10-13 CrowdWorks kill-check. 2026-10-20 G2 verdict.
• crowdworks_proposals — continue
  FACT: 2 scans (10/08: 1,142/~25 fit/2 GO; 10/09: 1,928/36 prefilter/8 read/0 new GO). 0 sent total (send-block). owner-crowdworks-proposal-permission OPEN (owner not acted). 2 GO drafts (13513659 ¥15k apply-by 10/10; 13513520 ¥8k apply-by 10/12) ready + still sharp. Next scan 10:00 JST 10/10.
  INTERPRETATION: Strengthens the H1 supply-widening redesign (request-board model fits the honest-AI proposal motion far better than Coconala's creative-skewed pool), but the thin daily GO slice persists. The lever is entirely owner-permission-gated (Art.9); cloud founder has no browser to crowdworks.jp and cannot route around the Mac's auto-mode classifier.
  NEXT: Founder: re-check the owner task every fire; the instant sends resume, confirm mac-local sent the 2 GO (13513659 first — time-critical) and read the first CrowdWorks reply end-to-end (Art.10). mac-local: on unblock, send the 2 drafted GO first, then scan daily under the price_plus_reply selection rule, ≤5/day combined with Coconala under PG-1.
  DEADLINE/TRIGGER: 2026-10-10: 13513659 ¥15k apply-by expires if still blocked. 2026-10-13: ≥10 CrowdWorks proposals reach buyers with 0 replies in the board's first 5 days → kill the board; BOTH boards 0 replies at fair volume → proposal sales-motion falsified → pivot to L4.
• x — continue
  FACT: 18 posts, main-post median imp ~10-13, profile_clicks 0 across all, 0 external replies. 小ネタ⑤ (first hashtag reach test, tweet 2108392840938061979) ~8h old: imp 4 / like 1 (early/partial). Day-9 numbers queued (cron 20:37 JST).
  INTERPRETATION: Weakened H2 unchanged: X demoted to trust/log (Day-8 trigger fired — 0 reach/0 clicks in 8 days). ⑤'s ~8h imp of 4 is an incomplete read, not the measurement; one partial point is not the median, so no action until the ⑤-⑥ median on 10/11.
  NEXT: No dispatch (Day-9 numbers post via the 20:37 cron). Later fires read ⑤'s reach vs the ①-④ control; apply the tips-stop trigger on 10/11.
  DEADLINE/TRIGGER: 2026-10-11: if 小ネタ⑤-⑥ median imp still < 20 → stop the tips series (keep the daily Day-N numbers post).
• coconala_proposals — continue
  FACT: 5 proposals sent under PG-1, 0 replies / 0 quote consultations / 0 orders. mac-local scan-1009pm + inbox-1009pm RAN 19:04 JST: 0 replies (5 offers pending, deadlines 10/11-10/13), 25 new requests screened (ids 5316039-5317091), 0 GO. Next passes time-gated 10:00 JST 10/10 (inbox-1010am/scan-1010), mac-local-owned.
  INTERPRETATION: Unchanged H1 (too few proposals, oldest ~5 d, to falsify reply rate). The persistent thin GO rate (0 GO/25 this evening) + unproven reply rate keep confirming the constraint that motivates the CrowdWorks primary bet.
  NEXT: mac-local works inbox-1010am/scan-1010 (10:00 JST 10/10) + scan-1010pm (19:00 JST) on the widened lane under the price_plus_reply selection, ≤5/day combined with CrowdWorks; any reply answered ≤12 h under PG-1; first reply → Founder builds delivery the same day (Art.5.5: no pre-build before a reply).
  DEADLINE/TRIGGER: 2026-10-12: ≥10 widened-lane proposals reach buyers with 0 replies → stop proposing on Coconala (listing stays live).
• coconala_listing — shrink
  FACT: Baseline 10/03: 30-day views 8, 0 favorites/quotes/sales. Active listing work STOPPED (Day-8), listing kept live. No inbox signal (inbox-1009pm 0 messages).
  INTERPRETATION: Weakened H3 (confirmed): passive listing gets no traffic without an outside funnel.
  NEXT: No active listing work; mac-local's inbox passes catch any inbound message at zero extra cost.
  DEADLINE/TRIGGER: 2026-10-15 review: still 0 inquiries → keep live, no further listing work for October.
• booth — shrink
  FACT: 0 sales, 0 スキ, 0 messages since 9/30.
  INTERPRETATION: Weakened H3: no inbound demand without outside traffic.
  NEXT: No work; keep the listing live at zero cost.
  DEADLINE/TRIGGER: 2026-10-15: still 0 → mark BOOTH stopped in STATE.
• stripe_gumroad — shrink
  FACT: Stripe livemode 0 charges / 0 payment_intents (DIRECT read this fire via MCP, not stale); Gumroad 0; 0 revenue entries.
  INTERPRETATION: Unchanged H4: no traffic reaches the stores; rebuild negative-EV vs the active proposal motion (diagnosed 10/01). Cloud Stripe read works, so first-charge is visible here immediately.
  NEXT: Maintenance only (sales-monitor Actions every 4h + Founder direct MCP read each fire); any checkout/payment_intent → investigate within 24 h (Art.10 end-to-end).
  DEADLINE/TRIGGER: 2026-10-15 review unless a charge/payment_intent appears first.
• note — stop
  FACT: Article #1 (10/03): impressions 44, PV 5, スキ 3, comments 0, sales 0. New articles STOPPED for October (10/07).
  INTERPRETATION: Weakened H2: PV 5 ≪ 30 threshold; note cannot feed buyers in this window.
  NEXT: None; article #1 stays live at zero cost.
  DEADLINE/TRIGGER: 2026-10-31: revisit only if another channel produces pull; no new articles before then.
• zenn — continue
  FACT: Paid book gas-ai-jimu-plus-6 LIVE (HTTP 200); in the JP funnel; 0 sales.
  INTERPRETATION: Unchanged H4: live paid asset at zero cost; nothing to work until a sale.
  NEXT: No work on a live paid asset at zero cost.
  DEADLINE/TRIGGER: 2026-10-15 review: stays live unless a sale reopens it.
• etsy — stop
  FACT: 13 listings live; 0 sales for 5+ weeks.
  INTERPRETATION: Weakened H4: no pull.
  NEXT: No work, no renewals.
  DEADLINE/TRIGGER: 2026-10-29 review (final); only a sale reopens it sooner.